Week 10 · 13 Nov 2026 · MetLife Stadium
Washington Commanders at New York Giants
We have New York Giants at 57.0% and Washington Commanders at 43.0%.
Ratings going in: Giants 1482, Commanders 1421, plus 33 for playing at home.
Starting quarterbacks: WAS (Jayden Daniels) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; NYG (J.J. McCarthy) -2.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over J.J. McCarthy, questionable). Net 45 rating points to WAS.
Weather forecast: 10°C, wind 17 km/h (gusts 47), rain 0.5 mm/h.
The betting market (closing moneyline) has Giants at 56.4%, spread -2.5, total 40.5.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Giants | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 56.4% | 43.6% |
| Polymarket | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Kalshi | 57.0% | 43.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Washington Commanders LDLWL, New York Giants WDLWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | New York Giants at Washington Commanders | 27–27 | 0% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Washington Commanders at New York Giants?
PodiumOracle's model makes New York Giants the favourite at 57%, with Washington Commanders at 43%. The markets give New York Giants 56% on Polymarket, 56% on Kalshi and 56% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 57% favourite still loses 43% of the time.
When and where is Washington Commanders at New York Giants?
13 November 2026, at MetLife Stadium (Week 10). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.