NFC East
Washington Commanders
Rated 1421 (No. 24 of 32), 2–5–1 this season, <1% to win the Super Bowl.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 5%
- Make playoffs
- 5%
- Win division
- 0%
- First-round bye
- <1%
- Win conference
- <1%
- Win Super Bowl
- 6.2
- Projected wins
Rating
Washington Commanders is rated 1421, No. 24 of 32. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Washington Commanders at New York Giants | 43% | 57% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders | 20–13 | 63% |
Questions and answers
What is Washington Commanders' chance of winning the 2026 Super Bowl?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Washington Commanders are No. 24 of 32 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Washington Commanders play next, and what are their chances?
Washington Commanders at New York Giants on 13 November 2026 at MetLife Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Washington Commanders 43%.