AFC East
New England Patriots
Rated 1555 (No. 14 of 32), 5–4 this season, 1% to win the Super Bowl.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 55%
- Make playoffs
- 2%
- Win division
- <1%
- First-round bye
- 3%
- Win conference
- 1%
- Win Super Bowl
- 9.4
- Projected wins
Rating
New England Patriots is rated 1555, No. 14 of 32. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2026 | New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions | 54% | 46% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots | 45–27 | 37% |
Questions and answers
What is New England Patriots' chance of winning the 2026 Super Bowl?
1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. New England Patriots are No. 14 of 32 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do New England Patriots play next, and what are their chances?
New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions on 15 November 2026 at FC Bayern Munich Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives New England Patriots 54%.