8 Nov 2026 · Scotiabank Arena
Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs
Canadiens 4 – 2 Maple Leafs · Montreal Canadiens won. We had Toronto Maple Leafs at 45.8% and Montreal Canadiens at 54.2%.
Ratings before the game: Maple Leafs 1479, Canadiens 1539, plus 35 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Maple Leafs | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 45.8% | 54.2% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 47.2% | 52.8% |
| Polymarket | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Kalshi | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Montreal Canadiens WWWLW, Toronto Maple Leafs WLLWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs | 3–2 | 56% |
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2026 | Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens | 34% | 66% |
| 22 Mar 2027 | Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens | 34% | 66% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs?
Montreal Canadiens won 4–2 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Montreal Canadiens 54%.