13 Nov 2026 · Nationwide Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets
We have Columbus Blue Jackets at 46.0% and Tampa Bay Lightning at 54.0%.
Ratings going in: Blue Jackets 1489, Lightning 1567, plus 35 for playing at home.
Expected starting goalies: TB (D. Hildeby) -0.3 goals saved per start against its usual; CBJ (J. Greaves) +0.1 goals saved per start against its usual. Net 15 rating points to CBJ.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Blue Jackets | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Bookmakers (1 book) | 48.3% | 51.7% |
| Polymarket | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| Kalshi | 46.5% | 53.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Tampa Bay Lightning WWWLW, Columbus Blue Jackets LWWLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Dec 2026 | Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning | 36% | 64% |
| 1 Apr 2027 | Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning | 36% | 64% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets?
PodiumOracle's model makes Tampa Bay Lightning the favourite at 54%, with Columbus Blue Jackets at 46%. The markets give Tampa Bay Lightning 54% on Polymarket, 53% on Kalshi and 52% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 54% favourite still loses 46% of the time.
When and where is Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets?
13 November 2026, at Nationwide Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.