Eastern Conference
Tampa Bay Lightning
Rated 1567 (No. 3 of 32), 12–4 this season, 9% to win the Stanley Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 94%
- Make playoffs
- 42%
- Win division
- 55%
- Second round
- 33%
- Conference final
- 16%
- Stanley Cup Final
- 9%
- Win Cup
- 109.9
- Projected points
Rating
Tampa Bay Lightning is rated 1567, No. 3 of 32. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets | 54% | 46% |
| 15 Nov 2026 | Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning | 34% | 66% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres | 8–3 | 49% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets | 3–4 | 44% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild | 4–3 | 46% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | Chicago Blackhawks at Tampa Bay Lightning | 1–4 | 77% |
Questions and answers
What is Tampa Bay Lightning's chance of winning the 2026–27 Stanley Cup?
9%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Tampa Bay Lightning is No. 3 of 32 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Tampa Bay Lightning play next, and what are their chances?
Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets on 13 November 2026 at Nationwide Arena. PodiumOracle's model gives Tampa Bay Lightning 54%.