Round 3 · 21 Mar 2026 · McDonald Jones Stadium
Warriors at Knights
Warriors 38 – 12 Knights · Warriors won. We had Knights at 44.4%, a draw at 3.4% and Warriors at 52.2%.
Ratings before the game: Knights 1451, Warriors 1523, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 25°C, wind 11 km/h (gusts 28).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Knights | Draw | Warriors |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 44.4% | 3.4% | 52.2% |
| Kalshi | 27.9% | 1.0% | 71.1% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Warriors WW, Knights WW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Knights at Warriors | 32–46 | 64% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Knights at Warriors | 12–10 | 27% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Warriors at Knights?
Warriors won 38–12 on 21 March 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Warriors 52%.