Rugby league · 2026 season

NRL forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the premiership odds. Favourite right now: Roosters, 50%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
27 Sep 2026Knights at Panthers71%0%29%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
25 Sep 2026Roosters at Dolphins36–2034%
20 Sep 2026Knights at Warriors12–1027%
19 Sep 2026Sharks at Roosters10–4659%

Chance of winning the premiership

Every team

TeamFinalsTop fourPreliminary finalGrand finalPremiership
Roosters100%100%100%100%50%
Panthers100%100%100%74%40%
Knights100%0%100%26%9%
Warriors100%100%0%0%0%
Dolphins100%100%100%0%0%
Sharks100%0%0%0%0%
Rabbitohs100%0%0%0%0%
Cowboys100%0%0%0%0%
Bulldogs0%0%0%0%0%
Sea Eagles0%0%0%0%0%