Round 26 · 29 Aug 2026 · Allianz Stadium
Dolphins at Roosters
Dolphins 26 – 12 Roosters · Dolphins won. We had Roosters at 58.1%, a draw at 3.3% and Dolphins at 38.6%.
Ratings before the game: Roosters 1656, Dolphins 1632, plus 45 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Roosters | Draw | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 58.1% | 3.3% | 38.6% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 59.0% | 4.2% | 36.8% |
| Polymarket | 62.5% | 0.0% | 37.5% |
| Kalshi | 57.9% | 6.7% | 35.4% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Dolphins WWWWW, Roosters WWWWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | Roosters at Dolphins | 10–48 | 53% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Roosters at Dolphins | 36–20 | 34% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Dolphins at Roosters?
Dolphins won 26–12 on 29 August 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Dolphins 39%.