Round 4 · 4 Oct 2026 · Accor Stadium
Knights at Roosters
Knights 18 – 19 Roosters · Roosters won. We had Roosters at 67.2%, a draw at 0.0% and Knights at 32.8%.
Ratings before the game: Roosters 1640, Knights 1560, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 17°C, wind 7 km/h (gusts 23).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Roosters | Draw | Knights |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 67.2% | 0.0% | 32.8% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 66.9% | 4.0% | 29.1% |
| Polymarket | 70.5% | 0.0% | 29.5% |
| Kalshi | 68.0% | 0.0% | 32.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Knights LLWWW, Roosters LLLWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Knights at Roosters | 24–38 | 70% |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Roosters at Knights | 23–22 | 59% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Knights at Roosters?
Roosters won 19–18 on 4 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Roosters 67%.