Football · 2026 season
NWSL forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the NWSL Championship odds. Favourite right now: Gotham FC, 23%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Denver Summit FC at Kansas City Current | 43% | 25% | 32% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Angel City FC at Washington Spirit | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Houston Dash at Portland Thorns FC | 56% | 22% | 22% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Orlando Pride at Bay FC | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | North Carolina Courage at Utah Royals | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | San Diego Wave FC at Orlando Pride | 27% | 24% | 49% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | North Carolina Courage at Seattle Reign FC | 43% | 25% | 32% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Utah Royals at Racing Louisville FC | 28% | 24% | 47% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Bay FC at Kansas City Current | 58% | 22% | 21% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Boston Legacy FC at Seattle Reign FC | 0–2 | 51% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Chicago Stars FC at Gotham FC | 1–3 | 80% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | San Diego Wave FC at Racing Louisville FC | 2–0 | 52% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Racing Louisville FC at Bay FC | 0–2 | 41% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Angel City FC at Utah Royals | 3–0 | 34% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Washington Spirit at Chicago Stars FC | 3–0 | 64% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Houston Dash at Boston Legacy FC | 2–1 | 28% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Seattle Reign FC at Denver Summit FC | 1–2 | 44% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Gotham FC at North Carolina Courage | 2–1 | 40% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Portland Thorns FC at Orlando Pride | 4–1 | 39% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Kansas City Current at San Diego Wave FC | 0–2 | 41% |
Chance of winning the NWSL Championship
| Team | Make playoffs | Reach final | Win championship |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gotham FC | 100% | 40% | 23% |
| San Diego Wave FC | 100% | 32% | 17% |
| Washington Spirit | >99% | 29% | 14% |
| Portland Thorns FC | 97% | 21% | 10% |
| Angel City FC | 78% | 18% | 10% |
| Utah Royals | 92% | 16% | 8% |
| Seattle Reign FC | 77% | 13% | 6% |
| Kansas City Current | 66% | 12% | 6% |
| North Carolina Courage | 64% | 12% | 5% |
| Denver Summit FC | 26% | 5% | 2% |