Ice hockey · 2026–27 season

OHL forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the J. Ross Robertson Cup odds. Favourite right now: Guelph Storm, 30%.

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Chance of winning the J. Ross Robertson Cup

Every team

TeamMake playoffsConference semi-finalConference finalOHL FinalWin the title
Guelph Storm>99%86%65%45%30%
Kingston Frontenacs>99%83%57%34%17%
Brantford Bulldogs100%80%51%27%12%
Sudbury Wolves>99%78%44%22%9%
Windsor Spitfires99%64%33%14%7%
Kitchener Rangers99%59%29%13%7%
Flint Firebirds99%60%30%13%7%
Ottawa 67's99%52%19%7%2%
London Knights97%41%15%5%2%
Soo Greyhounds95%38%13%5%2%

Questions and answers

Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 J. Ross Robertson Cup?

Guelph Storm, at 30%, ahead of Kingston Frontenacs (17%), Brantford Bulldogs (12%) and Sudbury Wolves (9%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

What are the odds for the next OHL games?

According to PodiumOracle's model: Kitchener Rangers at Erie Otters (12 November 2026): Kitchener Rangers 55%; Sarnia Sting at North Bay Battalion (13 November 2026): North Bay Battalion 60%; Kingston Frontenacs at Peterborough Petes (13 November 2026): Kingston Frontenacs 60%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.

How accurate are PodiumOracle's OHL predictions?

On 1,692 games from held-back seasons (2024–25 to 2026–27), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 64% of the time. Its log loss was 0.630, against 0.685 for the base rate and 0.652 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.626 against the bookmakers' 0.616 over 464 games (lower is better).

How are the OHL predictions made?

Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the J. Ross Robertson Cup odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.