PodiumOracle Primeira Liga

Football · 2026–27 season

Primeira Liga forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the title odds. Favourite right now: FC Porto, 52%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
9 Oct 2026Gil Vicente at Moreirense42%29%30%
9 Oct 2026Sporting CP at Braga22%27%51%
10 Oct 2026Santa Clara at Casa Pia33%29%38%
10 Oct 2026FC Porto at Maritimo7%14%79%
10 Oct 2026Estoril at Académico de Viseu45%28%26%
11 Oct 2026C.D. Nacional at Rio Ave50%27%23%
11 Oct 2026Vitória de Guimaraes at Benfica84%11%6%
11 Oct 2026Estrela at Arouca57%25%18%
12 Oct 2026Alverca at FC Famalicao64%22%14%
23 Oct 2026Maritimo at Vitória de Guimaraes56%25%19%
24 Oct 2026Casa Pia at Estrela44%28%27%
24 Oct 2026Arouca at Alverca33%29%38%
24 Oct 2026FC Porto at Gil Vicente11%19%70%
25 Oct 2026Moreirense at Estoril40%29%31%
25 Oct 2026FC Famalicao at Rio Ave27%28%44%
25 Oct 2026Braga at C.D. Nacional14%21%64%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
20 Sep 2026Benfica at FC Porto1–341%
20 Sep 2026Braga at Santa Clara0–027%
20 Sep 2026Casa Pia at Estoril2–122%
20 Sep 2026Moreirense at Vitória de Guimaraes1–128%
20 Sep 2026Académico de Viseu at Estrela2–030%
19 Sep 2026Arouca at Sporting CP2–210%
19 Sep 2026Rio Ave at Alverca0–142%
19 Sep 2026FC Famalicao at C.D. Nacional4–047%
19 Sep 2026Maritimo at Gil Vicente1–125%

Chance of winning the title

Every team

TeamWin titleTop twoTop threeRelegation play-offRelegated
FC Porto52%81%99%0%0%
Benfica27%63%98%0%0%
Sporting CP21%55%97%0%0%
Braga<1%1%6%<1%0%
Santa Clara0%<1%<1%1%<1%
FC Famalicao0%<1%<1%1%1%
Arouca0%0%<1%1%1%
Académico de Viseu0%0%<1%3%3%
Gil Vicente0%0%<1%4%3%
Moreirense0%0%<1%3%4%