2026–27 season odds
The rest of the season played 10,000 times from today's ratings, then the title decided by the league's own format.
Every team
| Team | Win title | Top two | Top three | Relegation play-off | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 63% | 90% | >99% | 0% | 0% |
| Benfica | 27% | 73% | >99% | 0% | 0% |
| Sporting CP | 10% | 37% | 98% | 0% | 0% |
| Braga | 0% | <1% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Arouca | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Santa Clara | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Gil Vicente | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Académico de Viseu | 0% | 0% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| FC Famalicao | 0% | 0% | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| Moreirense | 0% | 0% | <1% | 2% | 1% |
| Vitória de Guimaraes | 0% | 0% | <1% | 4% | 4% |
| Alverca | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| Casa Pia | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 23% |
| Estrela | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 22% |
| Maritimo | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 31% |
| C.D. Nacional | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 30% |
| Rio Ave | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 34% |
| Estoril | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 48% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 Primeira Liga title?
FC Porto, at 63%, ahead of Benfica (27%) and Sporting CP (10%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.