Pool A
Australia
Rated 1782 (No. 7 of 24), 0–0 this season, 1% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 10%
- Win pool
- 91%
- Reach last 16
- 76%
- Quarter-final
- 29%
- Semi-final
- 10%
- Reach final
- 1%
- Win the cup
- 8.5
- Projected points
Rating
Australia is rated 1782, No. 7 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2027 | Hong Kong at Australia | 9% | 1% | 90% |
| 9 Oct 2027 | New Zealand at Australia | 89% | 1% | 10% |
Questions and answers
What is Australia's chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?
1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Australia is No. 7 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Australia play next, and what are their chances?
Hong Kong at Australia on 1 October 2027 at Perth Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Australia 90%, a draw 1%.