2027 season odds
The rest of the season played 10,000 times from today's ratings, then the Webb Ellis Cup decided by the league's own format.
Every team
| Team | Win pool | Reach last 16 | Quarter-final | Semi-final | Reach final | Win the cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa | 98% | 100% | 97% | 73% | 62% | 51% |
| New Zealand | 84% | >99% | 97% | 38% | 27% | 17% |
| Ireland | 63% | 98% | 77% | 66% | 38% | 13% |
| France | 92% | >99% | 63% | 52% | 14% | 8% |
| England | 73% | 99% | 86% | 51% | 23% | 5% |
| Scotland | 34% | 96% | 55% | 42% | 16% | 4% |
| Australia | 14% | 91% | 75% | 30% | 11% | 2% |
| Argentina | 68% | 99% | 64% | 16% | 5% | 1% |
| Zimbabwe | 17% | 90% | 48% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| Wales | 10% | 80% | 29% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Hong Kong | 1% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Chile | 1% | 42% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Fiji | 25% | 94% | 34% | 4% | <1% | 0% |
| Italy | 1% | 77% | 11% | 3% | <1% | 0% |
| Spain | 7% | 74% | 8% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| Georgia | 1% | 67% | 7% | 2% | <1% | 0% |
| Japan | 3% | 60% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 0% |
| Samoa | 2% | 58% | 7% | 1% | <1% | 0% |
| United States of America | 2% | 48% | 5% | 1% | <1% | 0% |
| Uruguay | 2% | 38% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 0% |
| Portugal | 1% | 30% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 0% |
| Romania | <1% | 13% | <1% | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| Canada | <1% | 10% | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Tonga | <1% | 10% | 1% | <1% | 0% | 0% |