Pool F
England
Rated 1946 (No. 5 of 24), 0–0 this season, 7% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 76%
- Win pool
- 99%
- Reach last 16
- 88%
- Quarter-final
- 57%
- Semi-final
- 28%
- Reach final
- 7%
- Win the cup
- 12.0
- Projected points
Rating
England is rated 1946, No. 5 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2027 | Tonga vs England | 1% | <1% | 98% |
| 8 Oct 2027 | Zimbabwe vs England | 17% | 2% | 81% |
Questions and answers
What is England's chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?
7%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. England is No. 5 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do England play next, and what are their chances?
Tonga vs England on 2 October 2027 at Brisbane Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives England 98%, a draw under 1%.