Pool E
France
Rated 2017 (No. 4 of 24), 0–0 this season, 9% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 93%
- Win pool
- >99%
- Reach last 16
- 66%
- Quarter-final
- 55%
- Semi-final
- 17%
- Reach final
- 9%
- Win the cup
- 12.9
- Projected points
Rating
France is rated 2017, No. 4 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2027 | United States of America vs France | 3% | <1% | 97% |
Questions and answers
What is France's chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?
9%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. France is No. 4 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do France play next, and what are their chances?
United States of America vs France on 2 October 2027 at Docklands Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives France 97%, a draw under 1%.