Pool A
Hong Kong
Rated 1413 (No. 19 of 24), 0–0 this season, <1% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- <1%
- Win pool
- 22%
- Reach last 16
- 6%
- Quarter-final
- 1%
- Semi-final
- <1%
- Reach final
- <1%
- Win the cup
- 2.6
- Projected points
Rating
Hong Kong is rated 1413, No. 19 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2027 | Hong Kong at Australia | 9% | 1% | 90% |
Questions and answers
What is Hong Kong's chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Hong Kong is No. 19 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Hong Kong play next, and what are their chances?
Hong Kong at Australia on 1 October 2027 at Perth Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Hong Kong 9%, a draw 1%.