Pool D
Ireland
Rated 2039 (No. 3 of 24), 0–0 this season, 16% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 68%
- Win pool
- 99%
- Reach last 16
- 80%
- Quarter-final
- 69%
- Semi-final
- 42%
- Reach final
- 16%
- Win the cup
- 11.7
- Projected points
Rating
Ireland is rated 2039, No. 3 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2027 | Portugal vs Ireland | 4% | 1% | 96% |
Questions and answers
What is Ireland's chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?
16%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Ireland is No. 3 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Ireland play next, and what are their chances?
Portugal vs Ireland on 4 October 2027 at Sydney Football Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Ireland 96%, a draw 1%.