Pool B
Italy
Rated 1516 (No. 13 of 24), 0–0 this season, 0% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 2%
- Win pool
- 77%
- Reach last 16
- 10%
- Quarter-final
- 2%
- Semi-final
- <1%
- Reach final
- 0%
- Win the cup
- 6.8
- Projected points
Rating
Italy is rated 1516, No. 13 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2027 | Italy vs South Africa | 2% | <1% | 98% |
Questions and answers
What is Italy's chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Italy is No. 13 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Italy play next, and what are their chances?
Italy vs South Africa on 3 October 2027 at Adelaide Oval. PodiumOracle's model gives Italy 2%, a draw under 1%.