Pool E
Japan
Rated 1422 (No. 18 of 24), 0–0 this season, 0% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 2%
- Win pool
- 54%
- Reach last 16
- 6%
- Quarter-final
- 1%
- Semi-final
- <1%
- Reach final
- 0%
- Win the cup
- 4.9
- Projected points
Rating
Japan is rated 1422, No. 18 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2027 | Samoa vs Japan | 52% | 3% | 44% |
Questions and answers
What is Japan's chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Japan is No. 18 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Japan play next, and what are their chances?
Samoa vs Japan on 3 October 2027 at Newcastle Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Japan 44%, a draw 3%.