Pool A
New Zealand
Rated 2175 (No. 2 of 24), 0–0 this season, 27% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 89%
- Win pool
- >99%
- Reach last 16
- 98%
- Quarter-final
- 51%
- Semi-final
- 38%
- Reach final
- 27%
- Win the cup
- 12.7
- Projected points
Rating
New Zealand is rated 2175, No. 2 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2027 | Chile vs New Zealand | 2% | <1% | 98% |
| 9 Oct 2027 | New Zealand at Australia | 89% | 1% | 10% |
Questions and answers
What is New Zealand's chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?
27%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. New Zealand is No. 2 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do New Zealand play next, and what are their chances?
Chile vs New Zealand on 2 October 2027 at Perth Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives New Zealand 98%, a draw under 1%.