Pool B
South Africa
Rated 2205 (No. 1 of 24), 0–0 this season, 34% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 98%
- Win pool
- 100%
- Reach last 16
- 96%
- Quarter-final
- 57%
- Semi-final
- 45%
- Reach final
- 34%
- Win the cup
- 13.2
- Projected points
Rating
South Africa is rated 2205, No. 1 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2027 | Italy vs South Africa | 2% | <1% | 98% |
Questions and answers
What is South Africa's chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?
34%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. South Africa is No. 1 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do South Africa play next, and what are their chances?
Italy vs South Africa on 3 October 2027 at Adelaide Oval. PodiumOracle's model gives South Africa 98%, a draw under 1%.