Pool E
Samoa
Rated 1450 (No. 17 of 24), 0–0 this season, 0% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 3%
- Win pool
- 61%
- Reach last 16
- 8%
- Quarter-final
- 1%
- Semi-final
- <1%
- Reach final
- 0%
- Win the cup
- 5.4
- Projected points
Rating
Samoa is rated 1450, No. 17 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2027 | Samoa vs Japan | 52% | 3% | 44% |
| 9 Oct 2027 | Samoa vs United States of America | 54% | 3% | 42% |
Questions and answers
What is Samoa's chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Samoa is No. 17 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Samoa play next, and what are their chances?
Samoa vs Japan on 3 October 2027 at Newcastle Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Samoa 52%, a draw 3%.