Pool D

Scotland

Rated 1894 (No. 6 of 24), 0–0 this season, 3% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

29%
Win pool
95%
Reach last 16
49%
Quarter-final
36%
Semi-final
13%
Reach final
3%
Win the cup
9.6
Projected points

Rating

Scotland is rated 1894, No. 6 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Next

DateGameAwayDrawHome
3 Oct 2027Uruguay vs Scotland10%1%88%

Questions and answers

What is Scotland's chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?

3%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Scotland is No. 6 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

Who do Scotland play next, and what are their chances?

Uruguay vs Scotland on 3 October 2027 at Docklands Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Scotland 88%, a draw 1%.