Pool D
Uruguay
Rated 1527 (No. 12 of 24), 0–0 this season, <1% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 2%
- Win pool
- 39%
- Reach last 16
- 3%
- Quarter-final
- 1%
- Semi-final
- <1%
- Reach final
- <1%
- Win the cup
- 3.7
- Projected points
Rating
Uruguay is rated 1527, No. 12 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2027 | Uruguay vs Scotland | 10% | 1% | 88% |
Questions and answers
What is Uruguay's chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Uruguay is No. 12 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Uruguay play next, and what are their chances?
Uruguay vs Scotland on 3 October 2027 at Docklands Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Uruguay 10%, a draw 1%.