Pool F
Wales
Rated 1612 (No. 10 of 24), 0–0 this season, <1% to win the Webb Ellis Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 9%
- Win pool
- 81%
- Reach last 16
- 31%
- Quarter-final
- 6%
- Semi-final
- 1%
- Reach final
- <1%
- Win the cup
- 6.8
- Projected points
Rating
Wales is rated 1612, No. 10 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2027 | Zimbabwe vs Wales | 58% | 3% | 39% |
| 8 Oct 2027 | Tonga vs Wales | 9% | 1% | 90% |
Questions and answers
What is Wales' chance of winning the 2027 Webb Ellis Cup?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Wales are No. 10 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Wales play next, and what are their chances?
Zimbabwe vs Wales on 2 October 2027 at Adelaide Oval. PodiumOracle's model gives Wales 39%, a draw 3%.