2 Sep 2026 · The BBSP Stadium
St Mirren at Kilmarnock
St Mirren 1 – 0 Kilmarnock · St Mirren won. We had Kilmarnock at 41.6%, a draw at 28.9% and St Mirren at 29.6%.
Ratings before the game: Kilmarnock 1470, St Mirren 1474, plus 50 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 17°C, wind 12 km/h (gusts 22), rain 0.5 mm/h.
The betting market (closing odds) had Kilmarnock at 35.5%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 41.6% | 28.9% | 29.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 35.6% | 26.2% | 38.2% |
| Polymarket | 35.7% | 26.6% | 37.7% |
| Kalshi | 35.5% | 25.5% | 39.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: St Mirren WWD, Kilmarnock LLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2026 | Kilmarnock at St Mirren | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| 9 Jan 2027 | St Mirren at Kilmarnock | 28% | 28% | 44% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won St Mirren at Kilmarnock?
St Mirren won 1–0 on 2 September 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave St Mirren 30%.