Football · 2026–27 season
Scottish Premiership forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the title odds. Favourite right now: Celtic, 73%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Kilmarnock at Rangers | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | St Mirren at Heart of Midlothian | 72% | 17% | 10% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Dundee at Falkirk | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Hibernian at Dundee United | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Celtic at Motherwell | 15% | 22% | 62% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | St Johnstone at Aberdeen | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Dundee United at St Johnstone | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Motherwell at Kilmarnock | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Falkirk at Hibernian | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | St Mirren at Aberdeen | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Rangers at Dundee | 14% | 21% | 66% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Heart of Midlothian at Celtic | 61% | 23% | 16% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Dundee at St Mirren | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | St Johnstone at Rangers | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Kilmarnock at Falkirk | 44% | 28% | 27% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Aberdeen at Dundee United | 43% | 29% | 29% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Rangers at Celtic | 1–0 | 21% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Heart of Midlothian at Kilmarnock | 1–1 | 24% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Dundee United at St Mirren | 3–0 | 30% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Falkirk at St Johnstone | 1–1 | 29% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Aberdeen at Hibernian | 1–1 | 25% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Motherwell at Dundee | 1–2 | 29% |
Chance of winning the title
| Team | Win title | Top two | Top six at the split | Relegation play-off | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 73% | 97% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Rangers | 26% | 87% | >99% | 0% | 0% |
| Heart of Midlothian | 2% | 14% | 98% | 0% | 0% |
| Hibernian | <1% | 1% | 70% | 2% | 1% |
| Dundee | <1% | <1% | 36% | 8% | 6% |
| Motherwell | 0% | 1% | 64% | 3% | 2% |
| Aberdeen | 0% | <1% | 39% | 8% | 5% |
| Dundee United | 0% | <1% | 28% | 11% | 7% |
| St Mirren | 0% | <1% | 24% | 13% | 10% |
| Falkirk | 0% | <1% | 24% | 13% | 12% |