Football · 2026–27 season

Scottish Premiership forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the title odds. Favourite right now: Celtic, 73%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
10 Oct 2026Kilmarnock at Rangers78%14%8%
10 Oct 2026St Mirren at Heart of Midlothian72%17%10%
10 Oct 2026Dundee at Falkirk43%29%28%
10 Oct 2026Hibernian at Dundee United31%29%40%
11 Oct 2026Celtic at Motherwell15%22%62%
11 Oct 2026St Johnstone at Aberdeen54%26%20%
17 Oct 2026Dundee United at St Johnstone31%29%40%
17 Oct 2026Motherwell at Kilmarnock30%29%41%
17 Oct 2026Falkirk at Hibernian56%25%19%
17 Oct 2026St Mirren at Aberdeen47%28%25%
17 Oct 2026Rangers at Dundee14%21%66%
18 Oct 2026Heart of Midlothian at Celtic61%23%16%
24 Oct 2026Dundee at St Mirren39%29%32%
24 Oct 2026St Johnstone at Rangers84%11%6%
24 Oct 2026Kilmarnock at Falkirk44%28%27%
24 Oct 2026Aberdeen at Dundee United43%29%29%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
20 Sep 2026Rangers at Celtic1–021%
19 Sep 2026Heart of Midlothian at Kilmarnock1–124%
19 Sep 2026Dundee United at St Mirren3–030%
19 Sep 2026Falkirk at St Johnstone1–129%
19 Sep 2026Aberdeen at Hibernian1–125%
19 Sep 2026Motherwell at Dundee1–229%

Chance of winning the title

Every team

TeamWin titleTop twoTop six at the splitRelegation play-offRelegated
Celtic73%97%100%0%0%
Rangers26%87%>99%0%0%
Heart of Midlothian2%14%98%0%0%
Hibernian<1%1%70%2%1%
Dundee<1%<1%36%8%6%
Motherwell0%1%64%3%2%
Aberdeen0%<1%39%8%5%
Dundee United0%<1%28%11%7%
St Mirren0%<1%24%13%10%
Falkirk0%<1%24%13%12%