9 Aug 2026 · The BBSP Stadium
Celtic at Kilmarnock
Celtic 5 – 1 Kilmarnock · Celtic won. We had Kilmarnock at 10.6%, a draw at 17.8% and Celtic at 71.6%.
Ratings before the game: Kilmarnock 1495, Celtic 1811, plus 50 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 14°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 21), rain 0.5 mm/h.
The betting market (closing odds) had Kilmarnock at 12.4%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 10.6% | 17.8% | 71.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 12.9% | 17.8% | 69.3% |
| Polymarket | 11.4% | 17.4% | 71.1% |
| Kalshi | 11.5% | 16.5% | 72.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Celtic W, Kilmarnock L.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Kilmarnock at Celtic | 0–1 | 84% |
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Apr 2027 | Celtic at Kilmarnock | 75% | 16% | 9% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Celtic at Kilmarnock?
Celtic won 5–1 on 9 August 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Celtic 72%.