PodiumOracle Top 14

Rugby union · 2026–27 season

Top 14 forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Bouclier de Brennus odds. Favourite right now: Stade Toulousain, 29%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
26 Sep 2026Perpignan at Bordeaux Begles85%3%11%
26 Sep 2026Bordeaux Begles at Perpignan40%8%52%
26 Sep 2026Castres Olympique at Clermont Auvergne68%6%26%
26 Sep 2026Lyon at Stade Francais Paris70%6%24%
26 Sep 2026Bayonne at Racing 9274%6%21%
26 Sep 2026Vannes at Toulon75%5%20%
26 Sep 2026La Rochelle at Pau66%7%27%
27 Sep 2026Montpellier Herault at Stade Toulousain74%6%21%
3 Oct 2026Lyon at Bordeaux Begles79%5%17%
3 Oct 2026Stade Francais Paris at Bayonne59%7%34%
3 Oct 2026Pau at Vannes54%8%38%
3 Oct 2026Clermont Auvergne at La Rochelle70%6%24%
3 Oct 2026Perpignan at Racing 9279%5%16%
3 Oct 2026Perpignan at Racing 9279%5%16%
3 Oct 2026Stade Toulousain at Castres Olympique46%8%46%
4 Oct 2026Toulon at Montpellier Herault74%6%21%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
20 Sep 2026Stade Francais Paris at Bordeaux Begles10–4075%
19 Sep 2026Stade Toulousain at Vannes29–2352%
19 Sep 2026Clermont Auvergne at Bayonne24–4660%
19 Sep 2026Racing 92 at La Rochelle20–1025%
19 Sep 2026Pau at Lyon25–5160%
19 Sep 2026Perpignan at Montpellier Herault13–5082%
19 Sep 2026Toulon at Castres Olympique27–2963%

Chance of winning the Bouclier de Brennus

Every team

TeamMake play-offsStraight to semi-finalsReach finalWin title
Stade Toulousain91%55%49%29%
Bordeaux Begles91%58%46%25%
Montpellier Herault63%16%21%11%
Pau63%17%18%8%
Racing 9256%13%15%6%
Lyon63%18%15%6%
La Rochelle50%10%13%6%
Stade Francais Paris22%2%5%2%
Castres Olympique28%4%5%2%
Clermont Auvergne20%2%4%2%