2026–27 season odds
The rest of the season played 10,000 times from today's ratings, then the Bouclier de Brennus decided by the league's own format.
Every team
| Team | Make play-offs | Straight to semi-finals | Reach final | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Toulousain | >99% | 83% | 58% | 33% |
| Bordeaux Bègles | 92% | 26% | 37% | 19% |
| Montpellier Hérault | 94% | 25% | 35% | 17% |
| Pau | 99% | 57% | 38% | 17% |
| Toulon | 62% | 4% | 13% | 6% |
| La Rochelle | 55% | 1% | 9% | 4% |
| Lyon | 56% | 3% | 7% | 3% |
| Stade Français Paris | 14% | <1% | 2% | 1% |
| Bayonne | 20% | <1% | 2% | 1% |
| Racing 92 | 3% | 0% | <1% | <1% |
| Clermont Auvergne | 3% | 0% | <1% | <1% |
| Castres Olympique | 2% | 0% | <1% | <1% |
| Perpignan | 1% | 0% | <1% | <1% |
| Vannes | <1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 Bouclier de Brennus?
Stade Toulousain, at 33%, ahead of Bordeaux Bègles (19%), Montpellier Hérault (17%) and Pau (17%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.