Champions League
Manchester United
Rated 1842 (No. 23 of 36), 2–2 this season, <1% to win the Champions League.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 2%
- Top eight
- 71%
- Reach knockouts
- 31%
- Round of 16
- 8%
- Quarter-finals
- 2%
- Semi-finals
- 1%
- Final
- <1%
- Win
- 10.4
- Projected points
Rating
Manchester United is rated 1842, No. 23 of 36. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2026 | Manchester United at Sporting CP | 27% | 21% | 52% |
Questions and answers
What is Manchester United's chance of winning the 2026–27 Champions League?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Manchester United is No. 23 of 36 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Manchester United play next, and what are their chances?
Manchester United at Sporting CP on 25 November 2026 at Estádio José Alvalade. PodiumOracle's model gives Manchester United 27%, a draw 21%.