PodiumOracle Champions League

Football · 2026–27 season

Champions League forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Champions League odds. Favourite right now: Bayern Munich, 25%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
13 Oct 2026Sporting CP at Lens39%23%39%
13 Oct 2026Slavia Prague at Sabah FK30%22%49%
13 Oct 2026Napoli at Villarreal40%23%37%
13 Oct 2026Bayern Munich at Viking FK10%12%78%
13 Oct 2026Manchester United at Atlético Madrid38%23%39%
13 Oct 2026Club Brugge at Internazionale69%16%15%
13 Oct 2026Lille at Arsenal81%11%9%
13 Oct 2026PSV Eindhoven at RB Leipzig38%23%39%
13 Oct 2026Barcelona at Galatasaray9%11%80%
14 Oct 2026Liverpool at LASK Linz12%13%75%
14 Oct 2026Como at Feyenoord Rotterdam22%20%58%
14 Oct 2026Borussia Dortmund at Bodo/Glimt29%22%49%
14 Oct 2026VfB Stuttgart at Slovan Bratislava10%12%78%
14 Oct 2026AEK Athens at Shakhtar Donetsk35%22%43%
14 Oct 2026Paris Saint-Germain at Manchester City56%20%24%
14 Oct 2026FC Porto at Real Betis42%23%36%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
10 Sep 2026Shakhtar Donetsk at PSV Eindhoven1–114%
10 Sep 2026AS Roma at Fenerbahce1–118%
10 Sep 2026Lens at Slavia Prague3–265%
10 Sep 2026RB Leipzig at Como1–465%
10 Sep 2026Sabah FK at Manchester United0–492%
10 Sep 2026Bodo/Glimt at Bayern Munich0–577%
9 Sep 2026Feyenoord Rotterdam at Barcelona1–587%
9 Sep 2026Viking FK at VfB Stuttgart1–352%
9 Sep 2026Arsenal at Napoli1–072%
9 Sep 2026Slovan Bratislava at Paris Saint-Germain1–694%
9 Sep 2026Atlético Madrid at Liverpool1–259%
9 Sep 2026Galatasaray at Sporting CP1–364%

Chance of winning the Champions League

Every team

TeamTop eightReach knockoutsRound of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalWin
Bayern Munich90%>99%98%76%56%38%25%
Barcelona75%>99%94%66%42%25%14%
Arsenal78%>99%94%65%42%25%14%
Manchester City72%99%93%65%41%24%13%
Paris Saint-Germain42%96%78%46%24%12%5%
Internazionale43%97%79%45%23%11%5%
Real Madrid55%98%83%46%23%11%4%
Borussia Dortmund45%97%78%42%21%9%4%
AS Roma28%92%68%34%16%7%3%
Liverpool45%96%74%35%15%6%2%