24 Oct 2026 · Aviva Stadium
Munster at Leinster
Munster 18 – 24 Leinster · Leinster won. We had Leinster at 82.1%, a draw at 1.9% and Munster at 16.0%.
Ratings before the game: Leinster 1740, Munster 1594, plus 130 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 10°C, wind 36 km/h (gusts 76).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Leinster | Draw | Munster |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 82.1% | 1.9% | 16.0% |
| Polymarket | 66.2% | 18.8% | 15.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Munster LWD, Leinster LLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2026 | Leinster at Munster | 64% | 3% | 32% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Munster at Leinster?
Leinster won 24–18 on 24 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Leinster 82%.