United Rugby Championship
Leinster
Rated 1792 (No. 1 of 16), 3–2 this season, 31% to win the URC title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 97%
- Make play-offs
- 77%
- Semi-final
- 50%
- Reach final
- 31%
- Win title
- 27.9
- Projected points
Rating
Leinster is rated 1792, No. 1 of 16. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2026 | Leinster at Ospreys | 75% | 3% | 23% |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Glasgow Warriors at Leinster | 24% | 3% | 74% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | Leinster at Connacht | 50–5 | 50% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Munster at Leinster | 18–24 | 82% |
Questions and answers
What is Leinster's chance of winning the 2026–27 URC title?
31%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Leinster is No. 1 of 16 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Leinster play next, and what are their chances?
Leinster at Ospreys on 4 December 2026 at St Helen's Rugby and Cricket Ground. PodiumOracle's model gives Leinster 75%, a draw 3%.