United Rugby Championship
Connacht
Rated 1558 (No. 6 of 16), 2–3 this season, 1% to win the URC title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 27%
- Make play-offs
- 5%
- Semi-final
- 2%
- Reach final
- 1%
- Win title
- 18.3
- Projected points
Rating
Connacht is rated 1558, No. 6 of 16. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2026 | Connacht at Scarlets | 59% | 3% | 37% |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Edinburgh at Connacht | 23% | 3% | 75% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | Leinster at Connacht | 50–5 | 50% |
Questions and answers
What is Connacht's chance of winning the 2026–27 URC title?
1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Connacht is No. 6 of 16 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Connacht play next, and what are their chances?
Connacht at Scarlets on 5 December 2026 at Parc y Scarlets. PodiumOracle's model gives Connacht 59%, a draw 3%.