30 Oct 2026 · Dexcom Stadium
Leinster at Connacht
Leinster 50 – 5 Connacht · Leinster won. We had Connacht at 46.3%, a draw at 3.5% and Leinster at 50.3%.
Ratings before the game: Connacht 1603, Leinster 1747, plus 130 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 14°C, wind 18 km/h (gusts 31), rain 0.3 mm/h.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Connacht | Draw | Leinster |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 46.3% | 3.5% | 50.3% |
| Polymarket | 50.6% | 19.7% | 29.7% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Leinster LLWW, Connacht LWLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Leinster at Connacht?
Leinster won 50–5 on 30 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Leinster 50%.