4 Oct 2026 · State Farm Arena
New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream
Liberty 82 – 92 Dream · Atlanta Dream won. We had Atlanta Dream at 67.0% and New York Liberty at 33.0%.
Ratings before the game: Dream 1681, Liberty 1634, plus 45 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Dream | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 63.7% | 36.3% |
| Polymarket | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Kalshi | 64.0% | 36.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: New York Liberty WLLWW, Atlanta Dream WWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026 | New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream | 104–90 | 40% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty | 95–84 | 48% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty | 83–65 | 63% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream | 98–101 | 64% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty | 85–83 | 53% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream?
Atlanta Dream won 92–82 on 4 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Atlanta Dream 67%.