9 Oct 2026 · Barclays Center
Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty
Dream 85 – 83 Liberty · Atlanta Dream won. We had New York Liberty at 47.3% and Atlanta Dream at 52.7%.
Ratings before the game: Liberty 1617, Dream 1699, plus 45 for playing at home.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Liberty | Dream |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| Polymarket | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Kalshi | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Atlanta Dream WWWWW, New York Liberty LWWLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026 | New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream | 104–90 | 40% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty | 95–84 | 48% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty | 83–65 | 63% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream | 82–92 | 67% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream | 98–101 | 64% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty?
Atlanta Dream won 85–83 on 9 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Atlanta Dream 53%.