Basketball · 2026 season
WNBA forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the WNBA championship odds. Favourite right now: Golden State Valkyries, 30%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx | 79% | 21% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces | 64% | 36% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Washington Mystics at Atlanta Dream | 62% | 38% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Dallas Wings at Golden State Valkyries | 72% | 28% |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Las Vegas Aces at Indiana Fever | 48% | 52% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty | 31% | 69% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx | 79% | 21% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces | 64% | 36% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics | 51% | 49% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Golden State Valkyries at Dallas Wings | 39% | 61% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Washington Mystics at Atlanta Dream | 62% | 38% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Dallas Wings at Golden State Valkyries | 72% | 28% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | Golden State Valkyries at Los Angeles Sparks | 76–75 | 78% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury | 100–82 | 74% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Indiana Fever at Minnesota Lynx | 66–86 | 55% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Chicago Sky at Washington Mystics | 93–101 | 86% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Toronto Tempo at Connecticut Sun | 81–95 | 60% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Dallas Wings at Seattle Storm | 103–91 | 77% |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty | 83–65 | 63% |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Los Angeles Sparks at Las Vegas Aces | 79–89 | 83% |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Golden State Valkyries at Portland Fire | 82–90 | 18% |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Minnesota Lynx at Indiana Fever | 77–96 | 52% |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Toronto Tempo at Chicago Sky | 85–97 | 62% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics | 69–79 | 89% |
Chance of winning the WNBA championship
| Team | Make playoffs | Top four | Semifinals | Reach Finals | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries | 100% | 100% | 71% | 46% | 30% |
| Minnesota Lynx | 100% | 100% | 67% | 37% | 18% |
| Las Vegas Aces | 100% | 100% | 67% | 32% | 18% |
| Atlanta Dream | 100% | 100% | 57% | 32% | 15% |
| Indiana Fever | 100% | 0% | 43% | 20% | 8% |
| Dallas Wings | 100% | 0% | 29% | 11% | 4% |
| Washington Mystics | 100% | 0% | 33% | 11% | 4% |
| New York Liberty | 100% | 0% | 33% | 11% | 3% |
| Portland Fire | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Chicago Sky | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |