14 Nov 2026 · American Express Stadium
Liverpool at Brighton & Hove Albion
We have Brighton & Hove Albion at 50.5%, a draw at 21.4% and Liverpool at 28.0%.
Ratings going in: Brighton 1528, Liverpool 1460, plus 15 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 3°C, wind 9 km/h (gusts 13).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Brighton | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 50.5% | 21.4% | 28.0% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 49.3% | 23.2% | 27.5% |
| Polymarket | 50.8% | 21.8% | 27.4% |
| Kalshi | 50.2% | 23.9% | 25.9% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Liverpool LLDLL, Brighton & Hove Albion WLWWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2027 | Brighton & Hove Albion at Liverpool | 46% | 22% | 32% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Liverpool at Brighton & Hove Albion?
PodiumOracle's model makes Brighton & Hove Albion the favourite at 51%, a draw 21%, with Liverpool at 28%. The markets give Brighton & Hove Albion 51% on Kalshi and 49% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 51% favourite still loses 49% of the time.
When and where is Liverpool at Brighton & Hove Albion?
14 November 2026, at American Express Stadium. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.