Football · 2026–27 season
Women's Super League forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the WSL title odds. Favourite right now: Manchester City, 73%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Crystal Palace at Manchester United | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Manchester City at Chelsea | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Everton at Tottenham Hotspur | 25% | 21% | 54% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | Liverpool at Brighton & Hove Albion | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| 15 Nov 2026 | Birmingham City at Aston Villa | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| 15 Nov 2026 | Charlton Athletic at West Ham United | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| 15 Nov 2026 | London City Lionesses at Arsenal | 29% | 22% | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Birmingham City at London City Lionesses | 1–4 | 75% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Brighton & Hove Albion at Tottenham Hotspur | 1–2 | 43% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Charlton Athletic at Crystal Palace | 2–3 | 42% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Manchester United at Aston Villa | 1–0 | 59% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Arsenal at Liverpool | 2–1 | 67% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | West Ham United at Manchester City | 0–5 | 85% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Everton at Chelsea | 1–1 | 8% |
Chance of winning the WSL title
| Team | Win title | Champions League places | Finish bottom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 73% | >99% | 0% |
| Chelsea | 27% | 98% | 0% |
| London City Lionesses | <1% | 38% | 0% |
| Arsenal | <1% | 31% | 0% |
| Manchester United | <1% | 25% | 0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur | <1% | 8% | 0% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 0% | 1% | <1% |
| Aston Villa | 0% | <1% | <1% |
| Everton | 0% | <1% | <1% |
| West Ham United | 0% | <1% | <1% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 WSL title?
Manchester City, at 73%, ahead of Chelsea (27%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What are the odds for the next Women's Super League games?
According to PodiumOracle's model: Crystal Palace at Manchester United (14 November 2026): Manchester United 78%, a draw 12%; Manchester City at Chelsea (14 November 2026): Manchester City 44%, a draw 22%; Everton at Tottenham Hotspur (14 November 2026): Tottenham Hotspur 54%, a draw 21%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's Women's Super League predictions?
On 327 games from held-back seasons (2024–25 to 2026–27), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 61% of the time. Its log loss was 0.878, against 1.051 for the base rate and 0.924 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.872 against the bookmakers' 0.831 over 123 games, 0.914 against Polymarket's 0.856 over 63 games and 0.869 against Kalshi's 0.814 over 106 games (lower is better).
How are the Women's Super League predictions made?
Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the WSL title odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.