14 Nov 2026 · Leigh Sports Village
Crystal Palace at Manchester United
We have Manchester United at 78.1%, a draw at 11.9% and Crystal Palace at 10.1%.
Ratings going in: Man Utd 1644, C Palace 1358, plus 15 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 7°C, wind 14 km/h (gusts 29).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Man Utd | Draw | C Palace |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 78.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 69.8% | 17.3% | 12.8% |
| Polymarket | 73.1% | 15.7% | 11.2% |
| Kalshi | 73.6% | 15.4% | 10.9% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Crystal Palace DLLLW, Manchester United WWDDW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2027 | Manchester United at Crystal Palace | 75% | 13% | 12% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Crystal Palace at Manchester United?
PodiumOracle's model makes Manchester United the favourite at 78%, a draw 12%, with Crystal Palace at 10%. The markets give Manchester United 73% on Kalshi and 70% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 78% favourite still loses 22% of the time.
When and where is Crystal Palace at Manchester United?
14 November 2026, at Leigh Sports Village. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.