14 Nov 2026 · Stamford Bridge
Manchester City at Chelsea
We have Chelsea at 34.1%, a draw at 22.4% and Manchester City at 43.5%.
Ratings going in: Chelsea 1802, Man City 1852, plus 15 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 8°C, wind 8 km/h (gusts 15).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Chelsea | Draw | Man City |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 34.1% | 22.4% | 43.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 55.8% | 22.5% | 21.7% |
| Polymarket | 57.6% | 21.7% | 20.7% |
| Kalshi | 57.6% | 21.2% | 21.2% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Manchester City WWDWW, Chelsea WWWWD.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2027 | Chelsea at Manchester City | 30% | 22% | 48% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Manchester City at Chelsea?
PodiumOracle's model makes Manchester City the favourite at 44%, a draw 22%, with Chelsea at 34%. The markets give Manchester City 22% on Kalshi and 22% on the bookmakers.
When and where is Manchester City at Chelsea?
14 November 2026, at Stamford Bridge. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.