8 Nov 2026 · Villa Park
Manchester United at Aston Villa
Man Utd 1 – 0 Aston Villa · Manchester United won. We had Aston Villa at 21.5%, a draw at 19.3% and Manchester United at 59.2%.
Ratings before the game: Aston Villa 1473, Man Utd 1633, plus 15 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 9°C, wind 4 km/h (gusts 11).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Aston Villa | Draw | Man Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 21.5% | 19.3% | 59.2% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 19.8% | 22.9% | 57.3% |
| Polymarket | 19.4% | 22.4% | 58.2% |
| Kalshi | 20.8% | 21.8% | 57.4% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Manchester United WWWDD, Aston Villa LDWWD.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2027 | Aston Villa at Manchester United | 17% | 17% | 66% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Manchester United at Aston Villa?
Manchester United won 1–0 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Manchester United 59%.