Round 18 · 9 Jul 2026 · Perth Stadium
Sydney at Fremantle
Sydney 73 – 111 Fremantle · Fremantle won. We had Fremantle at 63.3%, a draw at 1.6% and Sydney at 35.1%.
Ratings before the game: Fremantle 1697, Sydney 1652, plus 55 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 16°C, wind 5 km/h (gusts 10).
The betting market (no-vig line) had Fremantle at 66.8%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Fremantle | Draw | Sydney |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 63.3% | 1.6% | 35.1% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 65.8% | 0.0% | 34.2% |
| Kalshi | 67.5% | 0.0% | 32.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Sydney WWWLW, Fremantle WWWWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | Fremantle at Sydney | 83–71 | 39% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Sydney at Fremantle?
Fremantle won 111–73 on 9 July 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Fremantle 63%.