AFL
Fremantle
Rated 1686 (No. 2 of 18), 19–4 this season, 15% to win the premiership.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 91%
- Finals (top ten)
- 83%
- Past the wildcard round
- 53%
- Top four
- 53%
- Preliminary final
- 29%
- Grand final
- 15%
- Premiership
- 59.8
- Projected points
Rating
Fremantle is rated 1686, No. 2 of 18. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle | 96–89 | 52% |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Fremantle at Sydney | 83–71 | 39% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Geelong at Fremantle | 106–120 | 51% |
| 3 Sep 2026 | Hawthorn at Fremantle | 72–40 | 32% |
Questions and answers
What is Fremantle's chance of winning the 2027 premiership?
15%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Fremantle is No. 2 of 18 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.