AFL
Essendon
Rated 1201 (No. 18 of 18), 2–21 this season, 0% to win the premiership.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 3%
- Finals (top ten)
- 1%
- Past the wildcard round
- <1%
- Top four
- <1%
- Preliminary final
- 0%
- Grand final
- 0%
- Premiership
- 23.8
- Projected points
Rating
Essendon is rated 1201, No. 18 of 18. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | Port Adelaide at Essendon | 104–95 | 64% |
Questions and answers
What is Essendon's chance of winning the 2027 premiership?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Essendon is No. 18 of 18 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.